IFC vs LONGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
JEK
1 - 2
IFC
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
IFC
2 - 1
VLI
38%
24%
39%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IFC
2 - 0
BRA
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ROO
0 - 2
IFC
19%
20%
60%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
IFC
1 - 0
GOE
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
LONGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LON
2 - 1
EFC
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TER
1 - 2
LON
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LON
1 - 1
VLI
28%
24%
47%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PSV
3 - 1
LON
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LON
3 - 0
ROO
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |