IFC vs HMSH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.6%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RKA
4 - 1
IFC
77%
15%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
IFC
0 - 2
GOE
21%
22%
56%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FCB
2 - 2
IFC
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
IFC
4 - 1
POO
72%
15%
13%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
IFC
3 - 1
OLY
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
HMSH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
WAT
6 - 0
HMS
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
XER
5 - 0
HMS
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
HMS
2 - 6
ZWE
25%
21%
55%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
NIE
5 - 2
HMS
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HMS
1 - 4
GOE
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |