IFC vs GOES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
56.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FCB
2 - 2
IFC
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
IFC
4 - 1
POO
72%
15%
13%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
IFC
3 - 1
OLY
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 2
IFC
64%
19%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
IFC
4 - 1
KOC
42%
22%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
GOE
4 - 1
OLY
88%
8%
4%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
GOE
23%
22%
56%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GOE
3 - 0
KOC
83%
11%
6%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HMS
1 - 4
GOE
14%
19%
67%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GOE
4 - 0
XER
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |