IFC vs GOES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
IFC
1 - 6
NEM
37%
23%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
WSC
4 - 3
IFC
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
IFC
3 - 3
RKV
60%
20%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GEL
2 - 1
IFC
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
IFC
4 - 0
TER
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EFC
3 - 1
GOE
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GOE
5 - 0
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JEK
0 - 1
GOE
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GOE
0 - 1
VLI
40%
24%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PSV
1 - 0
GOE
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |