IFC vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DOS
1 - 2
IFC
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
IFC
4 - 2
RKA
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HAL
2 - 1
IFC
43%
22%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
IFC
1 - 0
DEL
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHE
3 - 1
IFC
28%
21%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GEM
3 - 2
GRO
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 3
GEM
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GEM
2 - 2
OSS
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
DOS
0 - 5
GEM
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
DEL
1 - 1
GEM
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |