IFC vs EFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
41.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LON
4 - 2
IFC
49%
22%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GEL
3 - 4
IFC
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
IFC
5 - 2
TSC
70%
17%
14%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
NEM
3 - 1
IFC
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
IFC
1 - 3
HAL
19%
21%
60%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
EFC
2 - 0
TSC
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NEM
4 - 5
EFC
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
EFC
2 - 1
HAL
18%
22%
60%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DEV
0 - 1
EFC
61%
21%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
EFC
0 - 4
DES
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |