IFC vs Dongen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DEV
2 - 0
IFC
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
IFC
2 - 2
RKV
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NUE
0 - 1
IFC
56%
21%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
IFC
2 - 1
GVV
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
VVR
4 - 2
IFC
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DON
2 - 2
RKV
50%
24%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
GVV
2 - 2
DON
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DON
4 - 4
LON
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
VLI
2 - 1
DON
62%
21%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DON
4 - 1
UNI
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |