Vestri vs Fylkir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
5º
3º
21
5º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vestri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KAA
2 - 1
VES
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 4
VES
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VES
2 - 1
HKK
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KRR
2 - 2
VES
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 0
VES
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fylkir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FYL
0 - 1
KRR
27%
22%
50%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
HKK
2 - 2
FYL
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FYL
1 - 3
KAA
24%
24%
52%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 0
FYL
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
FYL
0 - 6
VIK
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |