Iceland Second Division Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Vestri vs Fjölnir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vestri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SEL
1 - 2
VES
36%
25%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VES
2 - 1
THR
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
AEG
0 - 5
VES
21%
25%
55%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VES
3 - 1
FJO
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 2
VES
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fjölnir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FJO
4 - 0
NJA
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 2
FJO
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
FJO
4 - 2
AFT
52%
23%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VES
3 - 1
FJO
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
FJO
5 - 1
GRI
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |