Skarp vs Norild analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skarp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
9 - 2
IFS
79%
12%
8%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
IFS
3 - 1
HAS
47%
22%
32%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
KJE
4 - 1
IFS
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
IFS
0 - 3
TRO
17%
19%
64%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
TRO
7 - 0
IFS
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |