Skarp vs Mjølner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skarp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
SAL
5 - 1
IFS
25%
21%
55%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 2
IFS
59%
19%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
IFS
2 - 2
STR
15%
18%
67%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
IFS
2 - 1
VFC
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
LOF
0 - 3
IFS
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Mjølner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
MJO
0 - 4
HAR
23%
22%
55%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
MJO
0 - 8
STR
11%
16%
73%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2004 |
MJO
1 - 2
VFC
53%
22%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
KOL
2 - 0
MJO
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
MJO
0 - 13
ALT
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -3 |