Skarp vs Harstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
63.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skarp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
HAS
1 - 1
IFS
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
IFS
1 - 4
KJE
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 1
IFS
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
IFS
0 - 2
TRO
13%
20%
67%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 1
IFS
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 0
ORN
32%
22%
46%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
SKE
2 - 2
HAR
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
HAS
1 - 2
HAR
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 4
KJE
50%
23%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
TRO
3 - 0
HAR
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |