Lodde vs Simrishamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
64.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
14º
14º
26
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lodde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 0
IFL
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IFL
1 - 1
RAP
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
NOS
1 - 0
IFL
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
IFL
3 - 0
TRE
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
IFL
0 - 1
KAR
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Simrishamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 1
KAR
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HAS
4 - 0
SIM
67%
19%
13%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 3
OST
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
HOG
1 - 2
SIM
19%
19%
62%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SIM
3 - 2
BER
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |