IF Karlstad vs Vasalunds IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
10º
5º
29
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 18% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 67% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
2 - 2
GEF
59%
21%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
1 - 2
AFC
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
HTF
3 - 1
KAR
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
VAS
1 - 3
KAR
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 0
ORE
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Vasalunds IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
AFC
2 - 2
VAS
25%
22%
53%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
ENK
1 - 4
VAS
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
STO
0 - 0
VAS
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
VAS
3 - 0
ORE
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
VAS
1 - 3
KAR
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |