IF Karlstad vs Örebro Syrianska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
10º
2º
13
6º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
25 | 60 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
26 | 57 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 56 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 55 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 53 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 50 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 43 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 38 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 37 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 34 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 34 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 32 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 32 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 29 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 26 |
16º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
25% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
KAR
3 - 0
FCA
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
SOL
0 - 3
KAR
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ENK
3 - 4
KAR
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
KAR
4 - 1
IFS
59%
20%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
KAL
2 - 3
KAR
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Örebro Syrianska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
ASS
3 - 1
ORE
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ORE
0 - 4
THO
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
HTF
3 - 1
ORE
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 0
ASS
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ORE
1 - 2
STO
15%
22%
63%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |