IF Karlstad vs Stocksund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
10º
5º
15
12º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
KAL
2 - 3
KAR
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KAR
2 - 1
ASS
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
HAN
2 - 1
KAR
53%
23%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 1
STO
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
KAR
1 - 1
ASS
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Stocksund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 2
IFS
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
IFS
0 - 2
KAL
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
IFS
1 - 2
ORE
53%
22%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
VAS
3 - 1
IFS
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
STO
5 - 0
IFS
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |