IF Karlstad vs Gefle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
10º
5º
14
8º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
1 - 2
AFC
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
HTF
3 - 1
KAR
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
VAS
1 - 3
KAR
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
KAR
0 - 0
ORE
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
KAR
3 - 0
FCA
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Gefle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ORE
2 - 1
GEF
27%
24%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
IFF
1 - 0
GEF
10%
15%
75%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 1
ASS
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
ENK
2 - 0
GEF
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 1
FCA
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |