IF Karlstad vs Arlanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
10º
5º
17
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2025 |
SOL
0 - 3
KAR
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ENK
3 - 4
KAR
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
KAR
4 - 1
IFS
59%
20%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
KAL
2 - 3
KAR
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KAR
2 - 1
ASS
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2025 |
FCA
5 - 3
IFS
40%
23%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 2
SOL
43%
23%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 1
ENK
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
HAN
2 - 1
FCA
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
VAS
0 - 0
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |