IF Karlstad vs Assyriska FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
10º
5º
20
8º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Karlstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
THO
1 - 4
KAR
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ORE
2 - 2
KAR
60%
21%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
KAR
3 - 1
TRO
49%
22%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
KAR
5 - 1
HAN
49%
21%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VAS
2 - 1
KAR
73%
16%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Assyriska FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ASS
1 - 1
STO
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ASS
1 - 1
IFS
29%
21%
50%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
IFS
5 - 2
ASS
50%
22%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ASS
2 - 3
KAL
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 1
ASS
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |