Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 4-1
IF Elfsborg vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
25.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
KAL
3 - 1
ELF
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 2
ELF
48%
27%
26%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
ELF
3 - 1
DJU
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2009 |
SZO
0 - 0
ELF
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
DJU
1 - 2
ELF
31%
27%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 2
ELF
48%
27%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
60%
25%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SPB
1 - 3
SLB
27%
26%
48%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 5
SPB
35%
30%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 0
SPB
28%
29%
43%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |