Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 4-1
IF Elfsborg vs Sūduva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
HAL
1 - 2
ELF
20%
25%
55%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 1
ELF
41%
26%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
ELF
3 - 0
ORE
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 1
ELF
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
ORE
0 - 3
ELF
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sūduva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 1
ELF
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
SUD
0 - 1
BAN
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
MAZ
0 - 0
SUD
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
KRU
0 - 1
SUD
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
SUD
2 - 1
FKL
82%
14%
5%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |