Q. Europa League 2nd Qualifying Round Final
Global 1-0
IF Elfsborg vs Randers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
RAN
0 - 0
ELF
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
ELF
1 - 0
HÄC
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
ELF
5 - 0
FCL
64%
22%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 2
ELF
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
FCL
2 - 2
ELF
25%
26%
49%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
RAN
0 - 0
ELF
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
VFF
0 - 0
RAN
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
RAN
3 - 0
SJU
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
SJU
0 - 1
RAN
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
HÄC
1 - 1
RAN
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |