Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 8-2
IF Elfsborg vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ELF
3 - 0
BRO
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ELF
0 - 0
FFK
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GÖT
1 - 0
ELF
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
MFF
2 - 1
ELF
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 0
HAL
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
OMO
0 - 3
PAF
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAF
1 - 1
OMO
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
PAF
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PAF
5 - 1
ANO
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
APO
1 - 1
PAF
46%
25%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |