Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 3-4
IF Elfsborg vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 1
ELF
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
DJU
0 - 0
ELF
26%
27%
48%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
ELF
2 - 0
DAC
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ELF
3 - 0
KAL
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
DAC
1 - 0
ELF
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
SON
0 - 2
ACH
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
ACH
1 - 1
ELF
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 2
MID
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
SIF
0 - 2
ACH
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
ACH
0 - 4
FCN
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |