Intertoto Cup Final
Global 2-0
IF Elfsborg vs FK Riga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2008 |
HAL
1 - 2
ELF
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
ELF
2 - 0
HIB
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2008 |
ELF
0 - 1
GEF
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
HIB
0 - 2
ELF
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2008 |
DJU
0 - 2
ELF
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FK Riga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
BOH
2 - 1
FKR
55%
23%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
FKR
1 - 0
BOH
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
FYL
0 - 2
FKR
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
FKR
1 - 2
FYL
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
FKR
1 - 1
DIN
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |