Q. Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Final
Global 7-2
IF Elfsborg vs FC Lahti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IF Elfsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 2
ELF
24%
25%
51%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
FCL
2 - 2
ELF
25%
26%
49%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
ELF
5 - 1
GEF
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
GÖT
1 - 0
ELF
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ELF
2 - 2
ORE
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 0
SEI
34%
28%
39%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
FCL
2 - 2
ELF
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
KUO
1 - 0
FCL
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
FCL
0 - 0
IFK
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
VAA
2 - 0
FCL
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |