Älgarna vs Täfteå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
31.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
14º
14º
24
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 63% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Älgarna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IFA
6 - 2
FIF
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BER
3 - 1
IFA
77%
14%
10%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
IFA
1 - 3
OST
18%
18%
64%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
YIK
1 - 0
IFA
76%
13%
11%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
IFA
0 - 4
LUC
43%
21%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Täfteå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TAF
2 - 2
GIF
25%
22%
52%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KFF
1 - 0
TAF
37%
23%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TAF
0 - 1
IFK
16%
19%
65%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FIF
1 - 4
TAF
41%
22%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
UME
5 - 0
TAF
89%
9%
3%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | 0 |