Älgarna vs Skellefteå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
67.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
14º
14º
47
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Älgarna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KFF
3 - 2
IFA
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UAK
1 - 1
IFA
58%
20%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
IFA
3 - 4
TAF
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IFA
6 - 2
FIF
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BER
3 - 1
IFA
77%
14%
10%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Skellefteå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SKE
4 - 1
TAF
85%
11%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
BOD
2 - 1
SKE
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SKE
3 - 1
UAK
82%
12%
7%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 2
KFF
82%
11%
7%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FIF
0 - 3
SKE
13%
17%
71%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |