Älgarna vs IFK Luleå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
62.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
14º
14º
40
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Älgarna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
IFA
0 - 3
SKE
16%
17%
67%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KFF
3 - 2
IFA
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UAK
1 - 1
IFA
58%
20%
23%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
IFA
3 - 4
TAF
47%
21%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IFA
6 - 2
FIF
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Luleå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 1
OST
46%
22%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
YIK
4 - 1
IFK
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 1
FIF
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
IFK
39%
23%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 0
LUC
74%
15%
12%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |