IE University Athletics vs Fomento Alumni C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.3%
15.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IE University Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CPO
2 - 2
IUA
42%
21%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
IUA
1 - 1
PAS
51%
20%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PDM
1 - 3
IUA
21%
19%
60%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
IUA
1 - 0
FER
59%
19%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAS
2 - 2
IUA
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fomento Alumni C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FOA
5 - 0
SCM
72%
15%
12%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
FUE
3 - 4
FOA
16%
17%
68%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
FOA
4 - 2
SDS
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ADP
6 - 3
FOA
80%
12%
9%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FOA
2 - 2
RAY
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |