IE University Athletics vs Fomento Alumni B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.5%
15.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IE University Athletics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
LCM
3 - 1
IUA
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
IUA
5 - 0
AUL
92%
6%
3%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 3
IUA
36%
21%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VAL
0 - 7
IUA
17%
18%
65%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
IUA
8 - 2
ARF
84%
10%
7%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fomento Alumni B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
FOM
3 - 1
AUL
77%
14%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
3 - 1
FOM
36%
21%
43%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
FOM
1 - 2
VAL
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ARF
1 - 4
FOM
14%
16%
70%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MAL
0 - 7
FOM
19%
17%
64%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |