Flint vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
45.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
12º
11º
38
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 1
IFL
85%
10%
6%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IFL
2 - 4
KFU
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AIF
1 - 4
IFL
19%
20%
61%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IFL
3 - 0
MJO
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IFL
3 - 2
AFK
69%
16%
15%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
SKE
56%
20%
25%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
FRI
4 - 2
SAR
80%
12%
8%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
OPP
55%
20%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
GOF
66%
17%
17%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |