Flint vs Fredrikstad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
23.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
KVI
4 - 0
IFL
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
IFL
3 - 1
SGR
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
DRO
1 - 1
IFL
36%
22%
43%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IFL
1 - 4
OPP
32%
21%
47%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
LOK
2 - 1
IFL
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
STA
2 - 1
FFK
59%
19%
23%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
FFK
0 - 1
IFR
35%
23%
43%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
FFK
1 - 4
DRO
72%
15%
12%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
SGR
5 - 0
FFK
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
FFK
2 - 3
KVI
19%
21%
61%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |