Flint vs Fram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.5%
62.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
3.7%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
STO
1 - 6
IFL
89%
8%
2%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
IFL
0 - 3
VIN
18%
16%
66%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 3
IFL
87%
8%
5%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
IFL
2 - 5
VIK
11%
13%
76%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
IFL
6 - 2
VBK
63%
17%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 1
FRA
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SKE
2 - 0
FRA
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 0
ROS
53%
21%
26%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
FKA
2 - 1
FRA
67%
19%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FRA
2 - 1
KJE
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |