Idoya vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
54.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
LOU
4 - 1
IDO
76%
16%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
IDO
1 - 2
TUD
17%
22%
61%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MUR
0 - 0
IDO
72%
18%
10%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
IDO
1 - 2
ALU
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
OBE
0 - 0
IDO
62%
22%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
UDM
2 - 0
TUD
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ALU
0 - 1
UDM
42%
28%
29%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
UDM
1 - 0
AOI
67%
21%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
BUR
0 - 3
UDM
24%
29%
47%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
UDM
2 - 2
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |