Idoya vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Idoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
IDO
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
INJ
4 - 2
IDO
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
IDO
0 - 2
MUT
32%
22%
46%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDI
1 - 1
IDO
57%
23%
21%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
IDO
0 - 2
CDA
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
6 - 0
CDB
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
4 - 0
CDO
28%
23%
49%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ROT
1 - 0
CDC
62%
19%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 1
AZK
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 0
CDC
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |