Ideal vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CON
0 - 1
IDE
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
IDE
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
IDE
0 - 1
UDL
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
IDE
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
IDE
1 - 3
PRA
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 1
OLI
22%
23%
55%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
CON
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
PRA
3 - 1
VIT
85%
12%
4%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 2
SER
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
USA
3 - 1
VIT
16%
18%
66%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |