Ideal vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 0
IDE
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 0
SAB
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 1
IDE
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 0
PAM
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TOU
0 - 0
IDE
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ADM
0 - 1
VIT
43%
22%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 1
NAV
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
VIT
55%
25%
20%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIT
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |