Ideal vs Vitória do Pico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FAB
3 - 4
IDE
83%
13%
5%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
IDE
6 - 1
FLA
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PRA
2 - 1
IDE
75%
16%
10%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RAB
1 - 1
IDE
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
IDE
0 - 2
ANG
39%
24%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Vitória do Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 1
RAB
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ANG
4 - 0
VIT
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 2
PRA
16%
21%
63%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIT
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 1
SAN
15%
20%
65%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |