Ideal vs Valadares Gaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
IDE
1 - 0
BEL
13%
24%
63%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PRA
0 - 1
IDE
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
PER
2 - 0
IDE
27%
25%
49%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
IDE
3 - 2
FAB
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SCP
2 - 0
IDE
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Valadares Gaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
4 - 1
FAV
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ALV
1 - 0
VAL
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 1
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BMA
2 - 1
VAL
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VAL
8 - 0
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |