Ideal vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
IDE
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
IDE
1 - 3
PRA
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 3
ANA
19%
24%
58%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
USA
1 - 0
IDE
11%
17%
73%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
IDE
2 - 0
GDF
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
UDL
0 - 1
ANA
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
UDL
12%
21%
68%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
UDL
1 - 1
SER
72%
18%
9%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CON
0 - 0
UDL
8%
18%
74%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
UDL
1 - 0
BEN
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |