Ideal vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
50.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
3 - 4
IDE
12%
17%
71%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 0
LUS
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ANG
5 - 0
IDE
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -3 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
IDE
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
IDE
3 - 2
BEN
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 0
LUS
75%
17%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
UDL
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 1
GDA
82%
14%
5%
|
53 | 19 | 34 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
UDL
2 - 0
GAF
83%
12%
4%
|
54 | 19 | 35 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 2
UDL
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |