Ideal vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
IDE
25%
22%
53%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
IDE
5 - 1
ANM
76%
15%
10%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
2 - 1
IDE
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OLE
0 - 1
IDE
14%
19%
67%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 2
PRA
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 0
OLE
88%
10%
3%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
0 - 2
BOA
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FAT
1 - 0
UDL
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 3
SER
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 2
POR
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |