Ideal vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 0
ADN
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OPE
3 - 1
IDE
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 2
IDE
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 0
ADN
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
PAM
51%
23%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 0
OPE
13%
22%
65%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 2
TOU
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TOU
1 - 1
SAB
43%
24%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PRA
3 - 0
TOU
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 0
ADN
24%
26%
50%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |