Ideal vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
68.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
IDE
1 - 1
BEL
13%
25%
62%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ORI
4 - 1
IDE
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 3
IDE
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
IDE
1 - 1
PRA
20%
24%
57%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
IDE
2 - 1
REA
14%
22%
64%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +3 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
RAB
0 - 0
SCP
7%
15%
79%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SCP
2 - 1
GDF
92%
6%
2%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SCP
4 - 1
BEL
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 0
SCP
11%
18%
71%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SCP
2 - 0
PRA
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |