Ideal vs SC Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 2
IDE
29%
24%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
IDE
0 - 0
BOA
68%
19%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MIC
1 - 1
IDE
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
SC Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SCG
3 - 0
FAY
68%
18%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
AGU
0 - 2
SCG
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SCG
1 - 0
PRA
13%
20%
68%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | +4 |