Ideal vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
BEN
4 - 1
IDE
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GDA
2 - 2
IDE
15%
21%
64%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 2
UDL
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
3 - 4
IDE
12%
17%
71%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
IDE
1 - 0
LUS
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
SER
3 - 0
GDA
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 2
SER
11%
16%
73%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
ANG
59%
23%
17%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
SER
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SER
0 - 1
UDL
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |