Ideal vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IDE
3 - 1
FAT
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
IDE
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 0
IDE
80%
14%
7%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 1
UDL
21%
25%
55%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
IDE
25%
22%
53%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
OLE
83%
13%
5%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
FAT
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 1
SER
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
SER
18%
23%
59%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SER
0 - 4
TON
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |