Ideal vs Santiago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 1
IDE
13%
19%
68%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
IDE
4 - 2
FAB
14%
21%
64%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 4
IDE
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
IDE
1 - 1
PRA
22%
25%
54%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ANG
2 - 2
IDE
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
RAB
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ANG
0 - 1
SAN
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
PRA
61%
21%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
SAN
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
PRA
2 - 0
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |