Ideal vs Sabugal SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ideal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 1
IDE
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 0
PAM
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TOU
0 - 0
IDE
34%
28%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ADN
1 - 0
IDE
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
IDE
2 - 0
OPE
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Sabugal SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SAB
0 - 2
OPE
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ACA
2 - 2
SAB
46%
22%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SAB
3 - 2
ADN
27%
25%
49%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAB
2 - 1
OLI
38%
23%
38%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAM
2 - 3
SAB
57%
21%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |